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tech 27 June 2026

Suspicious Discontinuities: When Tax Policies Encourage Losing Money

Explore how U.S. tax policies create discontinuities that incentivize individuals to lose money to maximize subsidies and minimize healthcare costs.

Article inspired by the original source
Suspicious Discontinuities (2020) ↗ danluu.com

Introduction

Imagine a tax system where earning more could put you in a worse financial position. Sounds paradoxical, doesn't it? Yet, this is the reality for many Americans due to discontinuities in the tax system. These "suspicious discontinuities" can lead some to strategically lose money to better position themselves financially.

Tax Discontinuities: A Brief Explanation

In the U.S., certain aid and subsidies are based on income thresholds. For instance, the Affordable Care Act (ACA) sets an income cap of $48,560 to qualify for a health insurance subsidy. Exceeding this threshold, even slightly, can result in a disproportionately high increase in insurance costs.

Practical Example

Consider an individual expecting to earn $55,000 this year. To optimize financially, they might choose to reduce their income to $48,500, saving approximately $7,200 in health insurance costs. This strategy is not merely theoretical; it is actively practiced by thousands of Americans.

Why Do These Discontinuities Exist?

These discontinuities result from rigid thresholds in subsidy policies. Instead of a gradual phase-out of aid, subsidies vanish abruptly once the threshold is crossed, creating a situation where earning more can cost you more.

Other Examples

Other programs like TANF, Medicaid, and CHIP have similar income limits. These thresholds vary, but the effect is the same: at certain income levels, it might be more beneficial to stay below the limit.

Economic Consequences

This situation leads to suboptimal economic behavior. By seeking to stay below thresholds, individuals do not maximize their earning potential and, by extension, their contribution to the economy.

Possible Solutions

A simple solution would be to transition to gradual phase-outs rather than abrupt cutoffs. This could reduce the incentive to intentionally lower income and encourage healthier economic growth.

Conclusion

The "suspicious discontinuities" in the U.S. tax system present unique challenges. By rethinking these policies to be more progressive, we could encourage more rational and beneficial economic behavior in the long term.

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tax policy income thresholds economic behavior subsidy discontinuities healthcare costs
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